Giro d’Italia Betting

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NeWbZs

NeWbZs

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My pre-season and classic cycling bets on this forum turned out with a whopping 187.5% ROI. It could have been more since I stopped posting regularly on the forum the last few weeks. This is because I still have to enter casinogrounds with a VPN :(

Anyway we will start betting again on the Giro d'Italia starting this friday. Of course hoping to make another great win. I'll try to post the bets around 8, that's when most bookies have their books open to bet. Unfortunately some odds drop very fast, that's where I make a lot of money but taking tips is a lot harder that way. I might try posting tips before the books open.

Stage 1»Budapest›Visegrád(195km)

Mathieu van der Poel @ 2.50 1u

This stage seems tailor made for van der Poel. It's too steep for the sprinters and too flat for the climbers. Makes me really think about the 2nd stage of last year's tour the France although this climb is way easier.

 
Mathieu van der Poel top 3 point classifcation @2.25 1u

Ewan said he wont finish the Giro, vd Poel will. He is also 6.00 to win, thats also a good bet but ill take the saffer option. 

 
No win today, sucks but I still think it was a good bet. Tomorrow Ill make a spreadsheet with the bets so we can track profit/loss.

I wont be able to post tonight when the markets open but the bets will be pretty straight forward. Its Ewan or Cavendish depending on odds and information. Ewan fell on the last climb yesterday so if he is talking about not feeling 100% it will be Cavendish, if he says he is alright it will be Ewan. The odds need to be near 3.00 to be a good bet.

 
Stage 3»Kaposvár›Balatonfüred(201km)

Mark Cavendish @ 4.00 1u

4.00 is simply to high. Also there are still some question marks around Ewans fall. 

 
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Tomorrow there will be a rest day. Tuesday we will climb the Enta in south Italy. Its the first mountain stage and usually that means that no CG guy(general classification) will will win, they dont want the "burden" of defending the jersey in the coming days. So it will be an attacker that wins. Will read a lot of interviews tomorrow so for now only 1 bet:

Lennard Kamna EW @ 21.00 0.5u

 
Yes yes yes!!!! I hoped you guys bet big because we got 1 and 3!!!!! Biggest profit for me in my life!!!

20220510_171351.jpg

 
Stage 5»Catania›Messina(174km)










Caleb Ewan


0,5u


3,5




Mark Cavendish T3


0,5u


2







Its should be one of these guys. Cavendish top 3 @ 2,00 is just to good to not bet. Ewan should win if his lead out is better then last time. 

 
Bauke Mollema EW @ 26 0.4u

Atilla Valter EW @ 26 0.4 u

Joe Dombroski EW @ 101 0.2u

 
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Mollema 2nd

image.png

Not bad but he was so strong today it does kinda feel like a loss. Anyway we win almost half a unit on the day.

Tomorrows bet will be easy, lets hope for good odds! (Its going to be Mathieu van der Poel) Maybe we also do a T3 bet if odds are good enough.

 
Adding Caleb Ewan @ 11 0,2u

Ewan opend at 6.00 and is now almost double. If there is a big group and not many attackers he can win this stage. We cover the attackers scenario with van der Poel and Ewan covers the bunch sprint scenario.

 
Stage 9 » Isernia › Blockhaus (191km)

Richard Carapaz @ 3.50 0,4u
Joao Almeida T3 @ 4.00 0,4u
David De La cruz @ 41,00 0,2u

 
NeWbZs said:
Stage 9 » Isernia › Blockhaus (191km)

Richard Carapaz @ 3.50 0,4u
Joao Almeida T3 @ 4.00 0,4u
David De La cruz @ 41,00 0,2u
Click to expand...
Carapaz 3rd &  Almeida 5th Close but we got nothing.

Stage 10»  Pescara › Jesi 

Arnaud Demare @ 41 0,1u
Arnaud Demare T3 @ 11.00 0,4u
Arnaud Demare T10 @ 2.25 0,5u

I think the market is wrong on this stage. It really favors the attackers but a sprint is not ruled out. The climb is 10km before the finish and not that hard. Sure attackers will try but the sprinters will not make it that easy for them. Demare has won many sprints with a climb in the last kms, FDJ (Demares team) will definitely try to get him in a good position.

 
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