Taffophile
New member
Hi all,
Taffophile here, usually seen chatting in @LetsGiveItASpin channel.
My niche betting is that of English Non League football, one that I believe that bookmakers miss a trick on, and price up selections badly.
My main focus will be on that of the Vanarama National League South, a league that my local club has been part of for over 10 years. In this time, I had a season ticket, allowing me to travel to different teams around the league. This has helped my knowledge grow; from management, squad depth and individual players who circulate in non league.
Throughout the season I'll be dropping in my selections and reasons below. I'll be using Bet365 prices as a rough guide, although there can be large variation on other sites.
17/10/20
WIN SINGLE
Hungerford Town v Concord Rangers: Concord win @2.6 or Draw No Bet @ 2.00
Hungerford have started the season well, winning two from two. However, as the season progresses I expect them to be drawn into a relegation dogfight. A young, inexperienced squad who I believe are sitting in a false position in the table.
Concord have only played one game so far in the league, however have done well to progress in the qualifying rounds of the FA Cup. Their squad is one that is settled for non league, with many having played together two seasons ago, when they finished inside a playoff position. I expect Concord to use their physicality to their advantage in this tie.
WIN SINGLE
Eastbourne Borough v Chelmsford City: Eastbourne win @2.4 or Draw No Bet @1.83
Eastbourne have started the year with one win and one loss. They are well known for playing fast football through the midfield on their 4g pitch. Coming off scoring 4 goals in their last league game, and scoring 3 in their FA Cup qualifier midweek, confidence will be sky high in their attackers.
Chelmsford are undergoing a transformation season. For the past 7 years they have regularly sustained a playoff push. However, due to current COVID implications, severe budget cuts have occured. This means that an emphasis on youth and players recruited from lower leagues has been the transfer tactic. Lack of goals seems to be the main concern for Chelmsford at this current time, with one goal in competitive football after three games.
WIN DOUBLE
Braintree Town v Dorking Wanderers: Dorking Win @1.83
Maidstone United v Hemel Hempstead: Maidstone Win @1.85
Braintree are another team I expect to be in a relegation fight come the end of the year. A young, inexperienced squad ravaged by budget cuts. Also got knocked out to lower league opposition during the week.
Dorking have strengthened impressively during the offseason, with perhaps the highest quality strike pairing in the league. Currently 2 wins from 2, I expect them to be too much for a failing Braintree side.
Maidstone are another squad full of experienced head, with some impressive youth signings to give them pace and width. A win and a draw (against much fancied title favourites Havant) shows this side mean business.
Hemel are undergoing a major transformation at the club. A new manager, brought in from lower leagues, with many of the squad not playing at this level before as well. Two losses from two, with goals being leaked at one end of the pitch, whilst also struggling to find their scoring boots, means it could be a long afternoon for Hemel.
A massive thankyou to anyone bothered to read this far! I'll be updating the thread to see how my selections got on, hopefully the first week won't be a total disaster.
Taffophile here, usually seen chatting in @LetsGiveItASpin channel.
My niche betting is that of English Non League football, one that I believe that bookmakers miss a trick on, and price up selections badly.
My main focus will be on that of the Vanarama National League South, a league that my local club has been part of for over 10 years. In this time, I had a season ticket, allowing me to travel to different teams around the league. This has helped my knowledge grow; from management, squad depth and individual players who circulate in non league.
Throughout the season I'll be dropping in my selections and reasons below. I'll be using Bet365 prices as a rough guide, although there can be large variation on other sites.
17/10/20
WIN SINGLE
Hungerford Town v Concord Rangers: Concord win @2.6 or Draw No Bet @ 2.00
Hungerford have started the season well, winning two from two. However, as the season progresses I expect them to be drawn into a relegation dogfight. A young, inexperienced squad who I believe are sitting in a false position in the table.
Concord have only played one game so far in the league, however have done well to progress in the qualifying rounds of the FA Cup. Their squad is one that is settled for non league, with many having played together two seasons ago, when they finished inside a playoff position. I expect Concord to use their physicality to their advantage in this tie.
WIN SINGLE
Eastbourne Borough v Chelmsford City: Eastbourne win @2.4 or Draw No Bet @1.83
Eastbourne have started the year with one win and one loss. They are well known for playing fast football through the midfield on their 4g pitch. Coming off scoring 4 goals in their last league game, and scoring 3 in their FA Cup qualifier midweek, confidence will be sky high in their attackers.
Chelmsford are undergoing a transformation season. For the past 7 years they have regularly sustained a playoff push. However, due to current COVID implications, severe budget cuts have occured. This means that an emphasis on youth and players recruited from lower leagues has been the transfer tactic. Lack of goals seems to be the main concern for Chelmsford at this current time, with one goal in competitive football after three games.
WIN DOUBLE
Braintree Town v Dorking Wanderers: Dorking Win @1.83
Maidstone United v Hemel Hempstead: Maidstone Win @1.85
Braintree are another team I expect to be in a relegation fight come the end of the year. A young, inexperienced squad ravaged by budget cuts. Also got knocked out to lower league opposition during the week.
Dorking have strengthened impressively during the offseason, with perhaps the highest quality strike pairing in the league. Currently 2 wins from 2, I expect them to be too much for a failing Braintree side.
Maidstone are another squad full of experienced head, with some impressive youth signings to give them pace and width. A win and a draw (against much fancied title favourites Havant) shows this side mean business.
Hemel are undergoing a major transformation at the club. A new manager, brought in from lower leagues, with many of the squad not playing at this level before as well. Two losses from two, with goals being leaked at one end of the pitch, whilst also struggling to find their scoring boots, means it could be a long afternoon for Hemel.
A massive thankyou to anyone bothered to read this far! I'll be updating the thread to see how my selections got on, hopefully the first week won't be a total disaster.
