Dota 2 WEPLAY ANIMAJOR 02.06.2021 - 13.06.2021

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anonymousapple

anonymousapple

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Next major coming up! Will be posting my bets/analysis here.

First it will be Wild Cards, only top 2 teams advance to group stage. BO2 matches.

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Execration - One of the weaker teams in the Wild Cards, recent performance has been a hit or miss.

AS Monaco Gambit - Hasn't been performing that great, replaced 2 players on 25th May so they are using 2 stand ins, coordination & teamplay will be the weakest among all the teams.

Invictus Gaming - Down 1 player, 'Super' (ex IG player and current iG coach of 2 years) will stand in. They still have a shot because i personally dont feel its a massive downgrade for them. Recent performance since the Major win has been mediocre.

Team Nigma - Pretty standard team, mediocre performance as well. 

Team Secret - Underwhelming since Major loss, plenty of close series, proceed with caution.

Vici Gaming - Personally feel VG is the strongest team in this Wild Card, China is extremely competitive and is considered the toughest region this time round (EU 2nd). They have been performing really well.

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Day 1 Wild Card

Secret vs AS Monaco Gambit : Secret should take this, 2-0. However the current odds are extremely low , Secret -1.5 is around 1.22 and im personally not a fan of this odds, will skip.

VG vs Nigma : Vici straight up at 1.5.

XcTN vs IG :  I have went for XCTN to win at least 1 map at 2.5 odds due to the coach factor in iG. XcTN is playing with their full team after all.

Nigma vs AS Monaco Gambit : Nigma should take this as well but at -1.5 the odds are still pretty low at 1.35, will skip. However, if Gambit made Secret sweat for their games, i will go either Gambit +1.5 or Gambit straight up at above 10 odds.

Gambit vs XCTN : XCTN straight up.

VG vs Secret : Personally leaning towards VG straight up at evens (2.0), subject to change based on Match 1 and Match 2 above.

XCTN vs VG: VG -1.5

Nigma vs iG: iG straight up if they win Match 3, else Nigma.

Also going for a cheeky EG/VG to win tournament, 1 unit each.

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Where to bet?

Tier 1: Bet365, Pinnacle

Tier 2: Betway, Unibet

Others: Paddypower, Betfair, Skybet

Crypto: EGB

Things to note:

EG, VP, iG, Secret has enough DPC points to qualify for TI.

This is Nigma & Vici Gaming's best shot to secure their TI spot (out of all the WC teams).

 
Wow, that's some heavy analysis right there! Is it fine if I post my thoughts here as well or you prefer if I make my own thread? Getting really hyped! :D ❤️ 

 
As I don't have access to B365 + Pinnacle and odds might differ for my region, I still tried to follow most of the bets. 

But betting this is like filling out the lottery numbers for me. 😁 

 
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I took Vici to win 2-0 for first series, I think it's very good value based on past performance. 

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As far as I understand the score Vici Gaming - Team Nigma is 1-0 now.
The match is over two games, bets comes in if Vici Gaming wins the second game as well. 

 
Secret ended in a 1-1, good call to skip at those extremely low odds.

Vici ended in 1-1 so basically money back since the bet is void (2 way straight up)

Will give gambit and XCTN to take at least a game for the next. Also definitely VG straight up against Secret and a straight up on XCTN>Gambit (note that this will be the 3rd set gambit will be playing in a row, so 6 straight games)

 
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anonymousapple said:
Secret ended in a 1-1, good call to skip at those extremely low odds.

Vici ended in 1-1 so basically money back since the bet is void (2 way straight up)

Will give gambit and XCTN to take at least a game for the next. Also definitely VG straight up against Secret and a straight up on XCTN>Gambit (note that this will be the 3rd set gambit will be playing in a row, so 6 straight games)
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I put 2 singles on VG winning Map 1 and Map 2, about evens for each bet

 
Both games this round ended in 1-1, so money back. Leaning towards Nigma straight up next and skipping VG because the odds are too low/short

 
A lot of 1-1 games it feels like, guess it is because of the patch and teams not being able to entirely figure it out

 
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iG played really well against Nigma. Ended day 1 with slight profit.

Standings after Day 1

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Aftermath of day 1, seems like any team can take a game off any team. There were a handful of close games but very few convincing wins. 

Here are my bet choices for day 2. Black circles are straight up (2 way market), red circles are potential -1.5 but the odds are/will be too low, so perhaps skipping would be a wiser choice. Will focus on some live betting too after draft, personally not a huge fan of pre game bets unless they are extreme value

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Decent day, nigma 2-0 xctn, vg 2-0 ig, secret nigma resulted in a tie because of the remake (so money back). 0 losses so far 

Right now either Secret or iG needs to win 2-0 to proceed to the next stage. Im personally still leaning towards secret but it will mostly be decided by the draft, both teams are quite good and need to sweep the other to proceed to the main stage

 
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