NeWbZs
Moderator
Omloop het Nieuwsblad
Tim Wellens @ 23.00 — 1 unit
Wellens looks to be in great shape coming into this one, having won Clásica Jaén earlier in the week — a race with a somewhat similar profile to Omloop. He'll have a free role here, meaning he can race aggressively without team obligations, and in an interview this morning he spoke confidently about his condition and his ambitions for the race.
Van der Poel is also on the start list tomorrow and will inevitably light up the race early. He'll be extremely hard to beat, but his presence works in Wellens' favour — the peloton's attention will be locked onto him, potentially opening the door for a well-timed attack. The tailwind forecast for the final section suits an attacker like Wellens perfectly.
At 23.00 this is an easy inclusion. The market is underestimating him — I'd put his real chance of winning closer to 10%, which makes this a clear overlay and a comfortable bet at 1 unit.
Faun Ardèche Classic
Paul Seixas @ 4.00 — 1 unit
The young Frenchman has been absolutely on fire lately, putting in some impressive performances at the Volta ao Algarve. With a hard climb just a few kilometres from the finish, the profile suits him perfectly — he can either attack on the ascent to arrive solo or contest a reduced sprint with the remaining climbers, both scenarios playing to his strengths.
He heads in as the favourite and rightly so. At 4.00 the odds are fair reflection of his chances and there's enough value to make this a straightforward bet.
Faun Ardèche Classic
Matteo Jorgenson @ 15.00 — 1 unit
The riskier of the two picks. Jorgenson hasn't raced officially this season so his form is genuinely unknown, but in a recent interview he spoke positively about where he's at physically. His palmares speaks for itself — he's won big races before and has the quality to win a race like this. At 15.00 you're being well compensated for the uncertainty, making it worth a small speculative unit.
Tim Wellens @ 23.00 — 1 unit
Wellens looks to be in great shape coming into this one, having won Clásica Jaén earlier in the week — a race with a somewhat similar profile to Omloop. He'll have a free role here, meaning he can race aggressively without team obligations, and in an interview this morning he spoke confidently about his condition and his ambitions for the race.
Van der Poel is also on the start list tomorrow and will inevitably light up the race early. He'll be extremely hard to beat, but his presence works in Wellens' favour — the peloton's attention will be locked onto him, potentially opening the door for a well-timed attack. The tailwind forecast for the final section suits an attacker like Wellens perfectly.
At 23.00 this is an easy inclusion. The market is underestimating him — I'd put his real chance of winning closer to 10%, which makes this a clear overlay and a comfortable bet at 1 unit.
Faun Ardèche Classic
Paul Seixas @ 4.00 — 1 unit
The young Frenchman has been absolutely on fire lately, putting in some impressive performances at the Volta ao Algarve. With a hard climb just a few kilometres from the finish, the profile suits him perfectly — he can either attack on the ascent to arrive solo or contest a reduced sprint with the remaining climbers, both scenarios playing to his strengths.
He heads in as the favourite and rightly so. At 4.00 the odds are fair reflection of his chances and there's enough value to make this a straightforward bet.
Faun Ardèche Classic
Matteo Jorgenson @ 15.00 — 1 unit
The riskier of the two picks. Jorgenson hasn't raced officially this season so his form is genuinely unknown, but in a recent interview he spoke positively about where he's at physically. His palmares speaks for itself — he's won big races before and has the quality to win a race like this. At 15.00 you're being well compensated for the uncertainty, making it worth a small speculative unit.
