Bundesliga

Definitely I am betting on the Bundesliga matches of this weekend, makes following the matches that more exciting.

Betting purely as a fan, I don't have any model to handicap the matches.
Some might argue that I am biased a little bit towards 1.FC Koln and against Gladbach. 
Not all sportsbooks have the lines up yet, so I am posting a screenshot of the matches from Unibet. 

Love to see your thoughts, this may affect how I bet.

Some inital thoughts: Dortmund don't have 80000 fans behind them in the stadium and 1.FC Koln don't have Hennes on pitch.
The bookies know so this should be priced in in the lines.

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Analysing statistics such as form after such a long layoff is useless. Corner statistics are worth checking out.

All teams are in training for 5 weeks or more so I don't see any advantages there for any team.

I will also take a look at the high range odds like Werder Bremen, Hertha and Mainz. I will definitely not bet on straight wins for Bayern, Leipzig and Dortmund because of the low odds offered.

 
👍 Too bad I cannot bet on Paddy Power.

I took the bet on Onemorebets bet on corners for EUR 10 on Leovegas

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Also a single bet on 1.FC Koln with some leftover cash at Pokerstars.
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Also I get a free EUR 30 bet for a triple EUR 30 bet of odds 1.50 or higher each leg on Pstars. Therefore:
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Got some bets in at Unibet as well, am getting 'profit boost' on these:

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Good luck all!

 
Good luck @vanHooff! 

Looks good! I always try to avoid putting a pick in more than one bet, just avoiding the risk of losing two bets with one pick.

 
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Hey guys I am since many years In the German sports betting scene and well connected. 
there is a very interesting match coming up where I heard from different sources that this game could be a big big surprise.

i am not assuming that this match is fixed but there are some crazy rumors going on

FC Union Berlin vs Bayern 

The Quote on win Berlin is gone down Already from 14 to 13 threw high demand
 

its a risky move but a great opportunity 

 
siamsquare7 said:
Hey guys I am since many years In the German sports betting scene and well connected. 
there is a very interesting match coming up where I heard from different sources that this game could be a big big surprise.

i am not assuming that this match is fixed but there are some crazy rumors going on

FC Union Berlin vs Bayern 

The Quote on win Berlin is gone down Already from 14 to 13 threw high demand
 

its a risky move but a great opportunity 
Click to expand...
It's hard to predict results after such a long break and a month of training in small groups. There will be some upsets this weekend, it could be Union Berlin though they are very strong in home fixtures mainly because of the great supporters there..

If Union will take the lead at some point live betting on Bayern team corners is great value.

 
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This weekend's results:

BundesligaRd26.jpg

With the lost bet on corners I have made W-L 2-2 in bets,  EUR 71,25 returned from  EUR 114,39 wagered,

Tonights bet on Leverkusen, away at Werner, is still live.

 
Not my bet but Pokerstars/Betstars has done something way out of line. They changed 'or' in 'and' and declared all bets lost. With 'or' the bets would be won.

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👍 Ouch! Good find.

Match result: Werder Bremen 1  - Bayer Leverkusen 4.  

With regards to odds: I think that 17 times stake fits the Rashica and Havertz to score a lot better than Rashica or Havertz to score. 

A typo in the offered bet seems likely and I expect that in the fineprint Terms and Conditions this is covered, will read the Sports T&C this afternoon.

A mistake in an offered bet does not come as a surprise to me from Pokerstars.  

 
vanHooff said:
👍 Ouch! Good find.

Match result: Werder Bremen 1  - Bayer Leverkusen 4.  

With regards to odds: I think that 17 times stake fits the Rashica and Havertz to score a lot better than Rashica or Havertz to score. 

A typo in the offered bet seems likely and I expect that in the fineprint Terms and Conditions this is covered, will read the Sports T&C this afternoon.

A mistake in an offered bet does not come as a surprise to me from Pokerstars.  
Click to expand...
It's covered in the T&C and it should be a void. Mistakes can happen with every bookmaker but this is against their own T&C.

I didn't place this bet but a friend of mine did.

 
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