Crazy time wheels statistics

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tei2308

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Hi there,

I've been watching a lot of casino streamers lately. Like many others, I love to see Crazy Time (Evolution Gaming). Since I'm studying econometrics, I decided to do some statistical analysis on the different crazy time wheels. I found out that there are four separate wheels. I simply call them wheel 1, 2, 3 or 4. For all four wheels, I simulated 10 000 000 (ten million) spins. I obtained the following data. Note that they are accurate op to a few decimals. 

Wheel 1View attachment 21218

  1. Average multiplier: 36.8705X
  2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 26.9901
  3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 37.0058%
  4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.5595%
  5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.0338%
  6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 3200X










Wheel 2Wheel2.png

  1. Average multiplier: 35.4662X
  2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 83.2670
  3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 23.3359%
  4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.9522%
  5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.0618%
  6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 51200X










Wheel 3Wheel3.png

  1. Average multiplier: 36.3638X
  2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 36.1300
  3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 33.3602%
  4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 8.8680%
  5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.1726%
  6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 5400X










Wheel 4Wheel4.png

  1. Average multiplier: 36.2866X
  2. Standard deviation (measures volatility): 40.4652
  3. Probability to get a 50X or higher: 23.7767%
  4. Probability to get a 100X or higher: 7.2074%
  5. Probability to get a 250X or higher: 0.2746%
  6. Highest multiplier in ten million spins: 25600X


Note that this data does not take the top slot multiplier into account. That's the reason why the crazy time bonus game has an average multiplier of 49X-50X on tracksino, whereas here the average multiplier is 35X-36X. Draw your own conclusions on which wheel is the best wheel :-).

Let me know if you want to see other statistics of the crazy time wheels!

Wheel1.png

Wheel2.png

Wheel3.png

Wheel4.png

 
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Wow, well done mate. I love stats so any you can give I'd love to see, thanks a lot for this and now let's go for that 51200X  :D  

 
The tables above in graphs:

If we're only looking at outcomes from 10X to 100X, wheel 2 is obviously the worst wheel.

Figure_1.png

However, if we are looking at outcomes from 100X to 100X, wheel 2 performs the best

Figure_2.png

This remains the same if we look at outcomes from 1000 X to 10 000 X. Now wheel 2 looks like the very best wheel. But note, however, that the probabilities to even get an outcome in this range are super low.

Figure_3.png

 
Now that's good data to have to hand however I do have a question..

Would it be the same Math if the wheel was spun in 1 direction only? - Base game as they alternate each side/direction every other spin?

Also do you know RTP for the same question..

 
ryans_slots said:
Now that's good data to have to hand however I do have a question..

Would it be the same Math if the wheel was spun in 1 direction only? - Base game as they alternate each side/direction every other spin?

Also do you know RTP for the same question..
Click to expand...
The only assumption I made is that the wheel is fair. That is, all segments have equal probability to be the outcome. As a result, it does not matter in which direction the wheel is spun, as long as the wheel is fair. 

I can unfortunately not calculate the RTP, because I don't know the distribution (probabilities, etc.) of the outcomes of the top slot. On Tracksino there is a page (https://tracksino.com/news/crazy-time-multipliers-revealed) on which they calculated some statistics of the top slot. Unfortunately, these statistics are not accurate enough to do RTP calculations with. 

 
i was watching it this morning!!

Crazy Time, Coin Flip, Pachincko, Crazy Time, Coin Flip, then another Crazy Time.... 6 Bonuses in 6 Spins, Unbelievable stuff... 

 
Y'all just crazy.

How do u want to predict a thing which is pre-determined?

You can actually see when having some lag the wheel braking by itself to give certain number or bonus.

In this game, all u need is for some arab prince loose 1M in order to start paying some back...

Otherwise, it's gonna be all 1 or 2... 

Wake up 🤢

 
i was like u igor69, but i woke up when i removed my tinfoil hat. to find out if crazy time is true i watch live and look at numbers. its all luck. ofc the game will make u loose in long time. sometimes you are lucky and win big. great place to see live tracking is here i think best https://casinoscores.com/crazy-time/

 
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