How many 20 or 21's does a dealer get in a typical BJ session at B&M casino.

[joejack stevenson]

I wanna know on average, how many 20, 21's does a dealer get on a Brick and Mortar casino, 

I want to know the most average of average. so the typical  8 deck shoe. with 2 players vs Dealer

also include the draw of cards. meaning not starting hand 20 or 21's.

I am curious about this because sometimes , the dealers on ONLINE LIVE CASINO BJ tables seem to get an endless amount of 20's and 21's 

i have alot less experiance from Brick and Mortar casinos so I was wondering if someone could chime in , I am asking for the average that youd expect and you have seen, not the crazy hot runs or cold runs. 

Thank you. 

 

[joshnadin]

I wanna know on average, how many 20, 21's does a dealer get on a Brick and Mortar casino.

The probability or average of this doesn't differ between a land-based, or online casino. Assuming the number of decks in play is the same, and the rules are the same such and standing on soft 17, the odds are the same.

I want to know the most average of average. so the typical  8 deck shoe. with 2 players vs Dealer

The number of players at any given time also doesn't affect the probability.

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This thread of the Wizard of Odds provides a good insight into what the odds of the dealer getting a specific hand are.
Also, you can find some good information on the odds of the outcome of the dealers hand here.

From my own experience as a dealer in a land-based casino for many years dealing thousands of hands of blackjack, and also as a player in both online and land based casinos for 10+ years, sometimes the deck can just be brutal.

Nothing is off, or being 'rigged', even though it can sometimes feel that way.
I've dealt shoe after shoe as a dealer where I seemed to get 21's, 20's and BJ's for 90% of the hands. I've also been on the receiving end of this as a player.
But then again, I've seen players run just as hot where they just can't seem to lose.

 

[joejack stevenson]

From my own experience as a dealer in a land-based casino for many years dealing thousands of hands of blackjack, and also as a player in both online and land based casinos for 10+ years, sometimes the deck can just be brutal.

ok so from your own experience, in the live games, how many would you say a  dealer gets? the most average answer. 

 

[joshnadin]

ok so from your own experience, in the live games, how many would you say a  dealer gets? the most average answer. 

For the dealer to get a 20, the odds are 17.9%, a 21 7.2%, or a natural BJ 4.7%. In total, that's a 29.8% probability of any of those outcomes.
If we round that to 30%, it's a 3 in 10 chance and that seems pretty bang on the money for the average you would expect from my experience.

However, as with any game of chance and probability, the sample size needs to be large enough for the game to operate within the expected probability. Hence why you will see some super cold sessions, and some hot ones too.

 

[joejack stevenson]

so like every 10 hands about 3 hands that seems like normal. but honestly I have played probebly around 4k hours of BJ online and i can tell you that some game providers are different then other, i regulaly I mean every 4 hands 3  is 20 or 21 , see this in  some providers. other i see a more even .

 

[joshnadin]

so like every 10 hands about 3 hands that seems like normal. but honestly I have played probebly around 4k hours of BJ online and i can tell you that some game providers are different then other, i regulaly I mean every 4 hands 3  is 20 or 21 , see this in  some providers. other i see a more even .

I can't really comment without seeing any data from your results from different providers as all we have to go off is your perspective.

But just bear in mind that as humans, we're programmed to make connections that don't actually exist. Especially when it comes to things like gambling and money which feels personal, when it's in fact completely random.

If you're playing with a reputable and licensed game provider, they're audited regularly and the games are analysed to ensure they're operating as expected. But, if you feel that you're luckier with one provider rather than another, stick to that provider!