Tour de France Bets

[NeWbZs]

Finally its time for the biggest cycling race of the year. The tour de France! This year we are up quite a lot and of course I am hoping to continue the winning.

Most stages I will give away tips on this forum. All the bets I post I bet myself. For the first stage and the CG I already have some bets in mind but I will wait a bit to post them.

[NeWbZs]

Overall (yellow)

Adam Yates @ 60.00 1u

Covid is gonna be a problem, Yates already had some weeks ago. He said in an interview that he can battle with the Slovenians in good form. Also he is simply underrated, he has a fair chance of winning and with these odds we simply cant let him go. 

Stage 1 (ITT)

Time trail, winner will be Ganna or Van Aert but i dont see a lot of value there. Mathieu van der Poel on the other hand should be alright here. Winning might be to much but a top 3 looks possible.

Mathieu van der Poel Top3 @ 4.50 1u 

 

My bets in a sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Sf5bt2jJ_BwXoP9TTCZa8P4yKHmaXPZ8/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112911125651900510298&rtpof=true&sd=true

[NeWbZs]

Stage 2 

Fabio Jakobsen @ 3.00 1u

Best lead-out combined with the best sprinter. Should be a no-brainer.

[dawka11000]

ok wr will see

[NeWbZs]

Not a great lead-out but WE WIN ANYWAY!!!!!

[dawka11000]

how did u know that he will win lol

[NeWbZs]

1 hour ago, dawka11000 said:

how did u know that he will win lol

I watch every race, read every interview and analyse every stage. 

[NeWbZs]

Stage 2 

Fabio Jakobsen @ 2.25 1u

So many thing went wrong today: Crash with 20kms to go, Lampeart leading out for the wrong person, Jakobsen getting pushed my Sagan, poor cornering and starting the sprint from to far back. Still Jakobsen wins, tomorrow everything will go right and the result will be the same, Jakobsen will win again. 

[NeWbZs]

Very poor cornering by Jakobsen. No win, tommorow rest Day and tuesday we go to the cobbels.

[dawka11000]

Who is cobbels? Full name please

[NeWbZs]

Cobbels are a type of stone, not a rider. Cobbels make for a diffrent type of race.

Stage 4

Jasper Philipsen top 3 @ 2,50 1u

Eachway or straight up win is also fine. 

Edited 4 July, 2022 by NeWbZs

[NeWbZs]

Philipsen 2nd!!

He is really happy with his 2nd place. Anyway we win once again!

 

Added: Philipsen didnt see van Aert win and thought he won the stage. Good we went for top 3.

Edited 5 July, 2022 by NeWbZs

[dawka11000]

Nice bro.

[NeWbZs]

Stage 5

Matthieu van der Poel @ 4.50 0.25u
Yves Lampaert @ 19.00 0.25u
Taco van der Hoorn @ 67 0.25u
Florian Senechal @ 19.00 0.25u

 

[NeWbZs]

Noooo 2nd by an inch, Taco 2nd

So close, would have been almost a 2k payday and now nothing.

 

[NeWbZs]

Stage 6

Dylan Theuns @ 21.00 0.25u
Alberto Bettiol @ 26.00 0.25u
Andreas Kron @ 67.00 0.25u
Victor Lafay @ 34.00 0.25u
 

Edited 6 July, 2022 by NeWbZs

[NeWbZs]

Stage 7

Ruben Guerreiro @ 17.00 0.5u
Michael Woods @ 17.00 0.5u

[Hans-Martin]

Really interesting to follow your advice here @NeWbZs! Thanks for sharing ❤️ 

[NeWbZs]

We are now  in the red, we need a bit of luck but i am sure we will find it soon

Stage 8

Bauke Mollema @ 40.00 0.25u
Michael Matthews top 3 @ 4.50 0.25u
Victor Lafay @ 67 0.25u
Warren Barguil @ 90 0.25u

 

We combine escape specialist with a "save" bet if it turns out to be a sprint. 
 

[NeWbZs]

I dont like betting more then 1 unit each stage but the teamleader of Taco van der Hoorn said he will be in the front group today. With his 2nd place his form is very good and the odds are good aswell so it would be a same to not bet on him. This time I go a little safer. 

Stage 8 Added:

Taco van der Hoorn EW @ 126 0.25u (2x0.125u)

For those who like to gamble: Straight up is good aswell, I would have bet that if I was in the green. Only top 3 for 35.00 is also good but he is a very smart rider and said that only 1st place counts for him. 

[NeWbZs]

Matthews 2nd, money back. Really mad how UAE and Jumbo-Visma killed the stage. We had great chance for the break but they killed it. Money back and ready for tommorow. Will post bets tonight or maybe early morning.

[NeWbZs]

Stage 9

Simon Geschke top 3 @ 12.25 0.2u
Philippe Gilbert top 3 @ 101 0.2u
Tim Wellens EW @ 81 0.2u (2x0.1u)
Warren Barguil EW @ 35 0.2u (2x0.1u)
Jakob Fuglsang EW @ 19 0.2u (2x0.1u)

Full on breakaway bets. All these guys are in good form and should try to enter the breakaway.

[gypsycream26]

Nice info   , it's one of the few sports i have never ever had a bet on  ,   i will observe though and might have a dabble for Tuesday     🙂

[NeWbZs]

Sundays stage we did not end up with a win. I think the bets where good, all of the 5 riders tried to join the breakaway, only two ended up in the break (Geschke and Gilbert). The winner, Bob Jungles was never on my radar, 2 years without any result and now he wins a Tour de France stage out of nowhere, great job Bob, you will be on my radar again. 

Stage 10

Jonas Vingegaard top3 @ 8.00 0.20 u 
Andreas Kron EW @ 26.00 0.3u (2x0.15u)
Warren Barguil EW @ 80.00 0.3u (2x0.15u)

Thats it for now. Might add one last bet tomorrow if the read more interviews.

[NeWbZs]

Stage 11

Tadaj Pogacar @ 3.25 1u

Things are not going our way, today it feels like an easy bet. Pogacar will be attack all day but he is so strong I dont see anybody else win.